Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Vare Areena, Kuopio
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Tikkanen R. In: Mutlu V.
Out: Tikkanen R.
48'
Miyazaki Y.
51' Event
Jakonen O.

AI Match Summary

SalPa in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SalPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
KuPS Akatemia
15%
Draws
68%
SalPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • SalPa have won more games recently than KuPS Akatemia.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on SalPa taking it.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
KuPS Akatemia Clean Sheet 10%
SalPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS Akatemia SalPa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.62 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa
1:3
Jun 12, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs KuPS Akatemia
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS Akatemia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kivijarvi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakonen O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndakala J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS Akatemia 10 / 100
SalPa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS Akatemia SalPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: KuPS Akatemia scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: KuPS Akatemia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS Akatemia VS SalPa
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS Akatemia

(Home)
07 Oct
KuPS Akatemia
0 : 3
FC Inter Turku 2
18 Sept
KPV Kokkola
3 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
21 Aug
KPV Kokkola
2 : 4
KuPS Akatemia
Page 1 of 6

SalPa

(Away)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
SalPa
6 : 4
Tampere Utd
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)