Sport Picks

Europe

Champions League Vare Areena, Kuopio

KuPS

Tue, Jul 14, 2026

2 - 3

03:00 PM

Vardar

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Puukko A.

44'

Gasc V. R.

44'

Rodrigues G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

KuPS

20%

Draws

34%

Vardar

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KuPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Vardar have won more games recently than KuPS.
KuPS are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Vardar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Vardar, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

KuPS Clean Sheet 16%

Vardar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	KuPS	Vardar
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	17
Draws	9	4
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	1.5	2
Goals Conceded	0.89	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Champions League

KuPS vs Vardar

2:3

Jul 7, 2026 Champions League

Vardar vs KuPS

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Armah B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Vardar Compare

Top Goalscorer Omeragic A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Puleio I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS 66 / 100

Vardar 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

KuPS Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 5:4

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: KuPS scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: KuPS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Vardar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

KuPS VS Vardar

2.13 Goals Scored 1.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS

(Home)

09 Aug

KuPS

1 : 1

TPS

06 Aug

KuPS

1 : 1

Univ. Craiova

01 Aug

Gnistan

0 : 1

KuPS

28 Jul

KuPS

0 : 2

Sabah Baku

25 Jul

KuPS

3 : 1

VPS

Page 1 of 6

Vardar

(Away)

09 Aug

Vardar

0 : 2

Shkendija Tetovo

28 Jul

Riga FC

5 : 2

Vardar

25 Jul

Vardar

2 : 0

Bregalnica Stip

22 Jul

Vardar

2 : 3

Riga FC

14 Jul

KuPS

2 : 3

Vardar

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Borac Banja Luka 1

Levski Sofia 5

ML Vitebsk 1

Univ. Craiova 5

Omonia -

TBD -

Kairat Almaty 4

Sutjeska 1

TBD -

AEK -

Celtic -

TBD -

LASK Linz -

Thun -

TBD -

Din. Zagreb -

Klaksvik 4

Bissen 2

FK Kauno Zalgiris 4

Drita 3

TBD -

Viking -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps 4

Inter Escaldes 2

Flora 4

Iberia 1999 5

TBD -

Slovan Bratislava -

Ararat-Armenia 4

Riga FC 3

Floriana 3

Shamrock Rovers 5

Petrocub Hincesti 2

KF Egnatia 7

TBD -

Celje -

Vikingur Reykjavik 3

Gyor 2

TBD -

H. Beer Sheva -

Tre Fiori 1

Larne 3

TBD -

Crvena zvezda -

Aarhus -

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Sabah Baku 4

TNS 1

Vardar 3

KuPS 4

Fenerbahce -

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Sturm Graz -

TBD -

Hearts -

Sparta Prague -

TBD -

Lyon -

Olympiacos Piraeus -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Royale Union SG -

TBD -

Bodo/Glimt -

Quarter-finals

Levski Sofia 3

Univ. Craiova 2

Omonia 1

Kairat Almaty 2

TBD -

AEK -

Celtic -

TBD -

LASK Linz -

Thun 3

Din. Zagreb 4

Klaksvik 0

FK Kauno Zalgiris 1

TBD -

Viking -

Mjallby 3

Lincoln Red Imps 0

Iberia 1999 1

Slovan Bratislava 3

Ararat-Armenia 3

Shamrock Rovers 2

KF Egnatia 5

Celje 6

Vikingur Reykjavik 2

H. Beer Sheva 3

Larne 0

Crvena zvezda 9

Aarhus 6

Lech Poznan 5

Sabah Baku 3

KuPS 0

Fenerbahce 2

Gornik Zabrze 1

Sturm Graz 6

Hearts 0

Sparta Prague -

TBD -

Lyon -

Olympiacos Piraeus -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Royale Union SG -

TBD -

Bodo/Glimt -

Semi-finals

Levski Sofia 2

Kairat Almaty 0

TBD -

AEK -

Celtic -

TBD -

LASK Linz -

Din. Zagreb 7

FK Kauno Zalgiris 1

TBD -

Viking -

Mjallby 1

Slovan Bratislava 4

Ararat-Armenia 2

Celje 3

H. Beer Sheva 3

Crvena zvezda 0

Aarhus 2

Sabah Baku 5

Fenerbahce 3

Sturm Graz 0

Sparta Prague 2

Lyon 4

Olympiacos Piraeus 1

Nijmegen 2

Royale Union SG 5

Bodo/Glimt 6

Final

Levski Sofia -

AEK -

Celtic -

LASK Linz -

Din. Zagreb -

Viking -

Slovan Bratislava -

Celje -

H. Beer Sheva -

Sabah Baku -

Fenerbahce -

Lyon -

Nijmegen -

Bodo/Glimt -

KuPS vs Vardar

Europe

KuPS

Vardar

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

KuPS Compare

Vardar Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS

Vardar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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