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KuPS vs VPS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Vare Areena, Kuopio
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KuPS host VPS in the Veikkausliiga. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. VPS have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while KuPS have conceded 1 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor KuPS slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.88) point toward KuPS. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
KuPS
20%
Draws
34%
VPS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KuPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • KuPS haven't matched VPS's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans KuPS's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
KuPS Clean Sheet 20%
VPS Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS VPS
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.89
Goals Conceded 1 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs KuPS
0:2
Jul 25, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs VPS
3:1
Jun 13, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs KuPS
1:1
Jun 10, 2026 Suomen Cup
KuPS vs VPS
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Liiga Cup
KuPS vs VPS
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS 67 / 100
VPS 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS VPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KuPS scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

VPS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: KuPS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KuPS VS VPS
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS

(Home)
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Inter Turku
1 : 0
KuPS
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
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VPS

(Away)
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
14 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
VPS
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Turku 26 13 10 3 32:18 49
2 KuPS 25 13 9 3 41:24 48
3 HJK 25 12 6 7 39:29 42
4 Gnistan 26 11 9 6 40:32 42
5 VPS 25 10 6 9 30:25 36
6 AC Oulu 25 10 4 11 26:29 34
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)