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KuPS vs Vardar

Europe Europe

Champions League Vare Areena
Tue, Jul 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KuPS play Vardar in the Champions League. It looks like a close match. Recently, KuPS averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Vardar averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. In past meetings, KuPS won 3, Vardar won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 0-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.91 for KuPS and 1.03 for Vardar. This points to a Vardar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
KuPS
39%
Draws
31%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Vardar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to KuPS.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Champions League increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
KuPS Clean Sheet 20%
Vardar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS Vardar
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Champions League
KuPS vs Vardar
0-1
Apr 12, 2025 Champions League
Vardar vs KuPS
1-2
Mar 12, 2025 Champions League
KuPS vs Vardar
2-0
Feb 12, 2025 Champions League
Vardar vs KuPS
1-0
Jan 12, 2025 Champions League
KuPS vs Vardar
1-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS 31 / 100
Vardar 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS Vardar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Vardar let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

KuPS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vardar lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS VS Vardar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.43
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps-
Inter Escaldes-
Tre Fiori-
Larne-
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku-
TNS-
Vardar-
KuPS-
Klaksvik-
Bissen-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Drita-
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia-
Riga FC-
Floriana-
Shamrock Rovers-
Borac Banja Luka-
Levski Sofia-
ML Vitebsk-
Univ. Craiova-
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty-
Sutjeska-
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik-
Gyor-
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Flora-
Iberia 1999-
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Petrocub Hincesti-
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aarhus-
Lech Poznan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Omonia-
TBD-
Thun-
Din. Zagreb-
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-