Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria ES vs Vilavelhense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa, Vitoria
Tue, Jun 23, 2026
1 - 0
09:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
Penalty Missed
2' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vitoria ES
30%
Draws
37%
Vilavelhense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vilavelhense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria ES lately — more wins on the board than Vilavelhense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Vitoria ES have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria ES, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 20%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria ES Vilavelhense
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Vilavelhense
1:0
Jun 17, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Vitoria ES
2:2
Jun 3, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Vilavelhense vs Vitoria ES
1:0
Jan 14, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Vilavelhense
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Vilavelhense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria ES 32 / 100
Vilavelhense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria ES Vilavelhense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria ES found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Vilavelhense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vitoria ES remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria ES VS Vilavelhense
1.88 Goals Scored 1.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria ES

(Home)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
Page 1 of 7

Vilavelhense

(Away)
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
06 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Jun
Vilavelhense
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vitoria ES 3
Vilavelhense 2
Porto Vitoria 3
Rio Branco-VN 4
Final
Vitoria ES 0
Rio Branco-VN 1