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KuPS W vs Aland United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Vare Areena, Kuopio
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KuPS W host Aland United W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: KuPS W at 1.93 goals for, 1.2 against; Aland United W at 2.41 for, 1.59 against. Past meetings favor KuPS W slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.75, favoring KuPS W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
KuPS W
20%
Draws
34%
Aland United W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aland United W come out ahead of KuPS W on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on KuPS W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • KuPS W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 12%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W Aland United W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 19
Draws 5 1
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.93 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
0:2
Jul 18, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Aland United W
1:3
Jul 1, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
1:2
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs KuPS W
1:6
Sep 27, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Aland United W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 56 / 100
Aland United W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W Aland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Aland United W let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

KuPS W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS Aland United W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS W

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
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Aland United W

(Away)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)