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KuPS W vs Gnistan W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Vare Areena, Kuopio
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

2 - 0
FT
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Viinikka T.
Assist: Leiwo S.
34' Event
Rochi G.
Assist: Juusela N.
39'
Sub
Leppioja J. In: Karkkainen S.
Out: Leppioja J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between KuPS W and Gnistan W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KuPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
KuPS W
15%
Draws
16%
Gnistan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Gnistan W haven't matched KuPS W's recent run of results.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on KuPS W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and KuPS W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 19%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W Gnistan W
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 18 6
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Gnistan W
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:1
Jun 17, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:2
May 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Gnistan W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viinikka T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rochi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gnistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 85 / 100
Gnistan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W Gnistan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Gnistan W conceded in 83% of 23 recent games.

Recent resilience: KuPS W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS Gnistan W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS W

(Home)
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
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Gnistan W

(Away)
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 20 17 1 2 59:18 52
2 KuPS W 20 13 2 5 40:25 41
3 Aland United W 20 13 1 6 53:28 40
4 HPS W 20 10 5 5 30:23 35
5 Ilves W 20 7 1 12 33:42 22
6 Gnistan W 20 5 1 14 28:50 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)