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KuPS W vs Gnistan W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Vare Areena, Kuopio
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KuPS W host Gnistan W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: KuPS W at 2.63 goals for, 1.25 against; Gnistan W at 0.88 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor KuPS W slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.06) point toward KuPS W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
KuPS W
28%
Draws
50%
Gnistan W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gnistan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gnistan W haven't matched KuPS W's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Gnistan W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and KuPS W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 20%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W Gnistan W
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 18 5
Draws 3 1
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:1
Jun 17, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:2
May 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Gnistan W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 24 / 100
Gnistan W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W Gnistan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Gnistan W conceded in 76% of 17 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: KuPS W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS Gnistan W
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS W

(Home)
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
18 Jul
KuPS W
1 : 3
Aland United W
12 Jul
KuPS W
2 : 4
Ilves W
08 Jul
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
04 Jul
HJK W
2 : 0
KuPS W
Page 1 of 7

Gnistan W

(Away)
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
18 Jul
Ilves W
2 : 2
Gnistan W
12 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
HJK W
05 Jul
VIFK Vaasa W
0 : 1
Gnistan W
27 Jun
Gnistan W
3 : 0
PK-35 Vantaa W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)