Sport Picks

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KuPS W vs HPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Vare Areena, Kuopio
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KuPS W host HPS W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: KuPS W at 1.88 goals for, 1.63 against; HPS W at 2.63 for, 0.5 against. Head-to-head, KuPS W have won 2 to HPS W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 2.13) point toward KuPS W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
KuPS W
11%
Draws
80%
HPS W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • KuPS W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on HPS W taking it.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%
HPS W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W HPS W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 20 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs KuPS W
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HPS W
0:0
Oct 3, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs KuPS W
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HPS W
5:1
Aug 9, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs KuPS W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 10 / 100
HPS W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W HPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS W's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

HPS W let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

KuPS W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS HPS W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS W

(Home)
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
18 Jul
KuPS W
1 : 3
Aland United W
12 Jul
KuPS W
2 : 4
Ilves W
08 Jul
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
04 Jul
HJK W
2 : 0
KuPS W
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HPS W

(Away)
25 Jul
HPS W
1 : 2
Ilves W
19 Jul
HJK W
4 : 0
HPS W
12 Jul
HPS W
1 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
08 Jul
EBK W
0 : 4
HPS W
04 Jul
PK-35 Vantaa W
0 : 1
HPS W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)