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Stadium Background

KuPS W vs Ilves W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Vare Areena, Kuopio
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

2 - 4
FT
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Olmala H.
Assist: Lahteenmaki L.
34'
Sub
Spenazzatto L. In: Hahl N.
Out: Spenazzatto L.
39'
Hautamaki N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ilves W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
KuPS W
15%
Draws
0%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • KuPS W have won more games recently than Ilves W.
  • Win probability leans KuPS W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 16%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS W Ilves W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
2:4
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
2:3
Jul 30, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Ilves W vs KuPS W
4:3
Aug 17, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Ilves W
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rochi G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olmala H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luotonen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS W 84 / 100
Ilves W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KuPS W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Difficult form: Ilves W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ilves W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

KuPS W VS Ilves W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS W

(Home)
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
08 Aug
HPS W
3 : 2
KuPS W
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Ilves W

(Away)
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
08 Aug
Aland United W
3 : 0
Ilves W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)