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Kuressaare U21 vs Johvi Phoenix Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Kuressaare U21 Logo

Kuressaare U21

2 - 3
FT
Johvi Phoenix Logo

Johvi Phoenix

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Tsvibelberg G.
27'
Lohmus R.
35' Event
Leedo K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Kuressaare U21 and Johvi Phoenix finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Johvi Phoenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kuressaare U21
15%
Draws
85%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Johvi Phoenix carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Johvi Phoenix are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Johvi Phoenix here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare U21 Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 4 26
Draws 1 4
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.97 2.85
Goals Conceded 2.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 2.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Kuressaare U21
4:0
Jul 26, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
2:3
Jun 22, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
1:4
Apr 19, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Kuressaare U21
5:1
Oct 24, 2024 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leedo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kobin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsvibelberg G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minajev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare U21 10 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare U21 Johvi Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johvi Phoenix Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix has conceded goals in 88% of their last 41 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Kuressaare U21's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Johvi Phoenix lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Johvi Phoenix
0 Goals Scored 3.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare U21

(Home)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
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Johvi Phoenix

(Away)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)