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Kuressaare U21 vs Nomme Utd U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Kuressaare U21 Logo

Kuressaare U21

1 - 4
FT
Nomme Utd U21 Logo

Nomme Utd U21

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Radomskiy A.
4'
Lonks J.
12' Event
Molder K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Kuressaare U21 and Nomme Utd U21 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nomme Utd U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kuressaare U21
15%
Draws
85%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nomme Utd U21 come out ahead of Kuressaare U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nomme Utd U21 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Nomme Utd U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare U21 Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 14
Draws 1 7
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
1:4
Aug 10, 2025 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kuressaare U21
0:3
Jun 30, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
1:4
May 3, 2025 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd U21 vs Kuressaare U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lohmus R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Molder K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Radomskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare U21 20 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare U21 Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Kuressaare U21 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Nomme Utd U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nomme Utd U21
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare U21

(Home)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
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Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
24 Aug
Viimsi JK
4 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)