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Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Kuressaare Linnastaadion

Kuressaare U21

0 - 4

Tartu Kalev

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Villems M.

20'

Sub

Villems M. In: Bazjukin N.

Out: Villems M.

29'

Sub

Vilt K. In: Samulin R.

Out: Vilt K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tartu Kalev in this Esiliiga B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Kuressaare U21

Draws

90%

Tartu Kalev

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Tartu Kalev lately — more wins on the board than Kuressaare U21.
90% — that's where the model lands on Tartu Kalev taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Tartu Kalev have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kuressaare U21	Tartu Kalev
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	4	15
Draws	1	2
Losses	25	14
Goals Scored	0	1.88
Goals Conceded	0	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Esiliiga B

Tartu Kalev vs Kuressaare U21

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Aug 17, 2025 Esiliiga B

Kuressaare U21 vs Tartu Kalev

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

0:4

May 25, 2025 Esiliiga B

Kuressaare U21 vs Tartu Kalev

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Mar 30, 2025 Esiliiga B

Tartu Kalev vs Kuressaare U21

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Sep 19, 2024 Esiliiga B

Kuressaare U21 vs Tartu Kalev

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Villems M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Juhanson R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare U21 10 / 100

Tartu Kalev 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kuressaare U21 Tartu Kalev

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:3

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Kuressaare U21 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Tartu Kalev has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Tartu Kalev registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tartu Kalev

0 Goals Scored 1.88

0 Goals Conceded 1.63

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maardu Linnameeskond	36	28	5	3	116:39	89
2	Nomme Utd U21	36	23	3	10	93:53	72
3	Johvi Phoenix	36	21	5	10	95:61	68
4	Narva U21	36	21	3	12	87:53	66
5	Tartu Kalev	36	19	4	13	81:53	61
6	Tabasalu	36	13	8	15	60:67	47
7	Legion	36	13	5	18	66:94	44
8	Paide Linnameeskond U21	36	11	8	17	65:71	41
9	Kuressaare U21	36	6	1	29	40:105	19
10	Laanemaa Haapsalu	36	3	2	31	33:140	11