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Kuressaare vs Flora

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kuressaare host Flora in the Meistriliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Flora have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Kuressaare have conceded 1.6 and scored 1.47. Past meetings favor Flora slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.56) point toward Flora. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Kuressaare
30%
Draws
51%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kuressaare haven't matched Flora's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Flora's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Flora have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 15%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare Flora
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.47 2
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kuressaare
2:3
Jul 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Flora
0:3
Apr 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kuressaare
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kuressaare
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Flora
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 15 / 100
Flora 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare Flora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Flora has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Kuressaare went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kuressaare scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS Flora
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

(Home)
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Flora

(Away)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)