Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kuressaare vs Flora

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Varjund T.
19'
Veering R.
29' Event
Kolobov M.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Kuressaare and Flora finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kuressaare
30%
Draws
47%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Flora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Flora are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Flora here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 15%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare Flora
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.47 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kuressaare
2:3
Jul 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Flora
0:3
Apr 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kuressaare
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kuressaare
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Flora
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuressaare Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolobov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Varjund T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 19 / 100
Flora 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare Flora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Flora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Kuressaare has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Kuressaare scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS Flora
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

(Home)
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Flora

(Away)
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
30 Aug
Flora
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 28 22 5 1 80:20 71
2 Flora 28 17 1 10 56:37 52
3 Paide Linnameeskond 28 14 6 8 45:35 48
4 Kalju 28 14 5 9 49:26 47
5 Tammeka Tartu 28 14 2 12 36:44 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 28 10 4 14 37:54 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 28 9 1 18 46:65 28
10 Narva 28 5 3 20 21:64 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)