Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Kuressaare Logo

Kuressaare

3 - 2
FT
Harju JK Laagri Logo

Harju JK Laagri

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Bah I.
14'
Sub
Talu R. In: Vahermagi J.
Out: Talu R.
24'
Binate A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kuressaare in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kuressaare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kuressaare
20%
Draws
47%
Harju JK Laagri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harju JK Laagri lately — more wins on the board than Kuressaare.
  • Harju JK Laagri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare Harju JK Laagri
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kuressaare
0:0
Aug 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri
3:2
Jun 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kuressaare
2:3
Apr 11, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri
3:2
Sep 17, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kuressaare
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuressaare Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurisoo T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vahermagi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Top Goalscorer Kesa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kose A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 10 / 100
Harju JK Laagri 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare Harju JK Laagri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harju JK Laagri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Harju JK Laagri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Kuressaare stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Kuressaare found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS Harju JK Laagri
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

(Home)
03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2
Saku Sporting
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
Page 1 of 6

Harju JK Laagri

(Away)
10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 30 15 5 10 52:28 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 30 15 2 13 41:47 47
6 Harju JK Laagri 30 12 2 16 41:47 38
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 30 10 5 15 41:59 35
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 30 9 1 20 47:72 28
10 Narva 30 5 5 20 24:67 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)