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Kuressaare vs Kalju II

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2015 Kuressaare Linnastaadion
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
27' Event
53' Event

AI Match Summary

Kalju II in this Esiliiga 2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalju II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kuressaare
33%
Draws
40%
Kalju II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kalju II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalju II have won more games recently than Kuressaare.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kalju II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 16%
Kalju II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare Kalju II
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2015 Esiliiga
Kuressaare vs Kalju II
2:3
Jul 17, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Kuressaare
2:0
May 17, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Kuressaare
0:1
Apr 26, 2015 Esiliiga
Kuressaare vs Kalju II
1:0
Sep 28, 2014 Esiliiga
Kuressaare vs Kalju II
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 28 / 100
Kalju II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare Kalju II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuressaare found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (38 games).

Defensive concern: Kalju II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kalju II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora Tallinn U2136226876:4072
2Levadia Tallinn II362259118:5771
3FCI Tallinn II3620610108:4866
4Rakvere3612111352:5347
5Kalju II361441850:5646
6Tallinna Kalev361371647:5946
7Kivioli Irbis361351860:8744
8Santos Tartu361261856:8342
9Vandra Vaprus361152043:8038
10Kuressaare361071948:9537