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Kuressaare vs Kalju

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Kuressaare Logo

Kuressaare

0 - 0
FT
Kalju Logo

Kalju

Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Sub
Godwin C. In: Lotar Eyang E. E.
Out: Godwin C.
62'
Sub
Ivanov N. In: Baptista T.
Out: Ivanov N.
68'
Sub
Demidov E. In: Roivassepp G.
Out: Demidov E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Kuressaare
17%
Draws
70%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kalju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kalju lately — more wins on the board than Kuressaare.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Kalju taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kalju have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 17%
Kalju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare Kalju
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Kalju
0:0
May 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Kalju
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Kuressaare
4:0
Oct 25, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Kalju
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Kuressaare
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 15 / 100
Kalju 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare Kalju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuressaare scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Kalju's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Kuressaare remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS Kalju
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

(Home)
23 Jul
Kuressaare
5 : 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
19 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 0
Kalju
11 Jul
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Kuressaare
02 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 3
Flora
26 Jun
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

Kalju

(Away)
23 Jul
Shelbourne
5 : 2
Kalju
19 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 0
Kalju
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
09 Jul
Kalju
1 : 0
Linfield
03 Jul
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Kalju
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju20105533:1635
4Paide Linnameeskond2095632:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus20821028:3826
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri20811130:3425
9Kuressaare20531219:3318
10Narva20411515:4713
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)