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Kuressaare vs Levadia

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kuressaare host Levadia in the Meistriliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Kuressaare at 1.47 goals for, 1.6 against; Levadia at 2.94 for, 0.74 against. Past meetings favor Levadia slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.38) point toward Levadia. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Kuressaare
30%
Draws
51%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadia lately — more wins on the board than Kuressaare.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Levadia have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare Levadia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 24
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 1.47 2.94
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kuressaare
4:0
May 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Levadia
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kuressaare
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Levadia
0:3
Aug 1, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kuressaare
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 10 / 100
Levadia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Kuressaare remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kuressaare found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS Levadia
2.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

(Home)
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Levadia

(Away)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)