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Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
64' Event
68' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Kuressaare and Nomme Utd finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kuressaare
20%
Draws
44%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nomme Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nomme Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 17%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare Nomme Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 1
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare
3:2
May 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd
3:3
Jan 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Kuressaare vs Nomme Utd
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 31 / 100
Nomme Utd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare Nomme Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Kuressaare remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Nomme Utd has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS Nomme Utd
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

(Home)
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Nomme Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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