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Kuressaare vs Tammeka Tartu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
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Match Events

16' Event
Kangaslahti O.
Assist: Pedro Manoel
19' Event
Demidov E.
28' Event
Marin P.
Assist: Sambe M.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Kuressaare and Tammeka Tartu finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tammeka Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kuressaare
15%
Draws
48%
Tammeka Tartu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tammeka Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Kuressaare haven't matched Tammeka Tartu's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tammeka Tartu's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 15%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuressaare Tammeka Tartu
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.63 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Tammeka Tartu
1:3
Aug 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Kuressaare
1:0
May 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Kuressaare
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Tammeka Tartu
3:2
Sep 26, 2025 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Kuressaare
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuressaare Compare

Top Goalscorer Demidov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kangaslahti O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marin P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuressaare 23 / 100
Tammeka Tartu 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuressaare Tammeka Tartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tammeka Tartu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Kuressaare stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kuressaare scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Tammeka Tartu conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kuressaare VS Tammeka Tartu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuressaare

(Home)
03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2
Saku Sporting
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
Page 1 of 6

Tammeka Tartu

(Away)
10 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 30 15 5 10 52:28 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 30 15 2 13 41:47 47
6 Harju JK Laagri 30 12 2 16 41:47 38
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 30 10 5 15 41:59 35
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 30 9 1 20 47:72 28
10 Narva 30 5 5 20 24:67 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)