Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kurilovec vs Spansko

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kurilovec in this 3. HNL Center 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kurilovec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Kurilovec
15%
Draws
26%
Spansko
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kurilovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Kurilovec have won more games recently than Spansko.
  • Kurilovec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 20%
Spansko Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kurilovec Spansko
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Spansko
3:0
Nov 18, 2020 3. HNL Center
Spansko vs Kurilovec
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kurilovec 85 / 100
Spansko 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kurilovec Spansko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kurilovec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spansko has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Kurilovec found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Kurilovec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kurilovec VS Spansko
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kurilovec

(Home)
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1
Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12
Kurilovec
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Spansko

(Away)
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
12 Jun
Trnje
0 : 2
Spansko
05 Jun
Spansko
2 : 2
Karlovac
29 May
Kurilovec
3 : 0
Spansko
26 May
Spansko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
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