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Kurilovec vs Vrapce

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Kurilovec Logo

Kurilovec

3 - 1
FT
Vrapce Logo

Vrapce

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kurilovec in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kurilovec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kurilovec
20%
Draws
44%
Vrapce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vrapce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Vrapce have won more games recently than Kurilovec.
  • Win probability leans Kurilovec's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 10%
Vrapce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kurilovec Vrapce
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Vrapce
3:1
Sep 18, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Kurilovec
3:0
Apr 24, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Kurilovec
2:1
Oct 3, 2020 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Vrapce
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kurilovec 38 / 100
Vrapce 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kurilovec Vrapce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kurilovec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vrapce conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Kurilovec's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kurilovec has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kurilovec VS Vrapce
1.13 Goals Scored 2.43
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Kurilovec

(Home)
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1
Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12
Kurilovec
Page 1 of 6

Vrapce

(Away)
29 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Vrapce
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
18 May
Vrapce
2 : 1
Lucko
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)