Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kurilovec vs Vrbovec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Kurilovec Logo

Kurilovec

3 - 1
FT
Vrbovec Logo

Vrbovec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Kurilovec and Vrbovec finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kurilovec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kurilovec
15%
Draws
37%
Vrbovec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kurilovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Kurilovec haven't matched Vrbovec's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Kurilovec taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 13%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kurilovec Vrbovec
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Vrbovec
3:1
Nov 27, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Kurilovec
2:1
May 22, 2021 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Vrbovec
2:4
Mar 17, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Kurilovec
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kurilovec 84 / 100
Vrbovec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kurilovec Vrbovec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kurilovec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrbovec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Kurilovec's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kurilovec stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kurilovec VS Vrbovec
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kurilovec

(Home)
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1
Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12
Kurilovec
Page 1 of 7

Vrbovec

(Away)
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Vrbovec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)