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Stadium Background

Kustosija vs Dugo Selo

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026 Stadion Kustosija, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Baltic T.
17' Event
Dolezal J.
50' Event
Gashi M.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2025/2026 game between Kustosija and Dugo Selo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kustosija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kustosija
30%
Draws
41%
Dugo Selo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kustosija come out ahead of Dugo Selo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kustosija have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 68%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija Dugo Selo
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.47 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Dugo Selo
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Kustosija
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Kustosija
1:1
Oct 18, 2024 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Dugo Selo
1:0
May 18, 2024 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Kustosija
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Baltic T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dolezal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dugo Selo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 41 / 100
Dugo Selo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija Dugo Selo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kustosija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kustosija found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Dugo Selo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Kustosija went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS Dugo Selo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
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Dugo Selo

(Away)
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0
Uskok Klis
22 Aug
Solin
1 : 1
Dugo Selo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)