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Kustosija vs Jadran Porec Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025 Stadion Kustosija, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Radman V.
19' Event
Ljubanovic I.
84'
Radman V.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2024/2025 game between Kustosija and Jadran Porec finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kustosija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kustosija
15%
Draws
0%
Jadran Porec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kustosija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kustosija carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Kustosija taking it.
  • Regular Druga NL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 20%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija Jadran Porec
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 26
Goals Scored 1.48 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2025 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Jadran Porec
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Kustosija
4:4
May 10, 2024 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Jadran Porec
4:2
Nov 4, 2023 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Kustosija
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljubanovic I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pisacic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Jadran Porec Compare

Top Goalscorer Radman V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 85 / 100
Jadran Porec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija Jadran Porec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kustosija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Porec let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Jadran Porec's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kustosija found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
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Jadran Porec

(Away)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)