Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kustosija vs Lucko

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026 Stadion Kustosija, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sunjic N.
89' Event
Gashi M.

AI Match Summary

Kustosija in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kustosija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kustosija
35%
Draws
32%
Lucko
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kustosija lately — more wins on the board than Lucko.
  • Kustosija are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 19%
Lucko Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija Lucko
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Lucko
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Druga NL
Lucko vs Kustosija
1:1
Mar 2, 2019 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Lucko
0:0
Aug 25, 2018 Prva NL
Lucko vs Kustosija
2:1
Apr 21, 2018 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Lucko
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunjic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gashi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65

Lucko Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 36 / 100
Lucko 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija Lucko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kustosija's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lucko let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Kustosija went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS Lucko
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
30 Aug
Kustosija
1 : 2
Mladost Zdralovi
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
22 Aug
Dugopolje
1 : 1
Kustosija
Page 1 of 6

Lucko

(Away)
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
08 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Lucko
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Segesta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)