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Stadium Background

Kustosija vs Lucko

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026 Stadion Kustosija, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sunjic N.
89' Event
Gashi M.

AI Match Summary

Kustosija in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kustosija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kustosija
6%
Draws
4%
Lucko
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kustosija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kustosija lately — more wins on the board than Lucko.
  • Kustosija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 68%
Lucko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija Lucko
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Lucko
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Druga NL
Lucko vs Kustosija
1:1
Mar 2, 2019 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Lucko
0:0
Aug 25, 2018 Prva NL
Lucko vs Kustosija
2:1
Apr 21, 2018 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Lucko
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunjic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gashi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lucko Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 95 / 100
Lucko 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija Lucko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kustosija's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Lucko let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Kustosija went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS Lucko
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
16 Jul
Varazdin
3 : 1
Kustosija
29 May
Mladost Zdralovi
3 : 3
Kustosija
22 May
Kustosija
1 : 1
Uljanik Pula
16 May
Trnje
1 : 0
Kustosija
09 May
Kustosija
4 : 0
Dugo Selo
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Lucko

(Away)
30 May
Croatia Dakovo
1 : 2
Lucko
23 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Lucko
16 May
Lucko
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
09 May
Grobnican
2 : 2
Lucko
02 May
Lucko
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Segesta30212758:3365
2Kustosija30178555:2359
3Jadran Luka Ploce30185756:2959
4Mladost Zdralovi30178548:3259
5Uljanik Pula301641053:4452
6Uskok Klis301451148:3647
7Radnik Krizevci30138939:2847
8Solin30129946:4345
9Trnje30871537:4831
10Grobnican307101346:6031
11Varteks Varazdin (2011)30871534:4831
12Bjelovar30781532:4629
13Lucko30851732:4629
14Dugo Selo30781522:4329
15Dragovoljac306101428:4928
16Croatia Dakovo30741930:5625
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)