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Kustosija vs Vrbovec

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Saronja A.
56' Event
Suskovic Jakopac F.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2022 game between Kustosija and Vrbovec finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kustosija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kustosija
30%
Draws
41%
Vrbovec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vrbovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kustosija come out ahead of Vrbovec on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 14%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija Vrbovec
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Kustosija vs Vrbovec
2:0
Aug 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Kustosija vs Vrbovec
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Saronja A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suskovic Jakopac F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vrbovec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 31 / 100
Vrbovec 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija Vrbovec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kustosija scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Vrbovec let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kustosija stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS Vrbovec
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
30 Aug
Kustosija
1 : 2
Mladost Zdralovi
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
22 Aug
Dugopolje
1 : 1
Kustosija
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Vrbovec

(Away)
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Vrbovec
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