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Stadium Background

Kuwait vs Jordan

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Khader N.
17' Event
Abu Taha M.
46'
Sub
Faleh N. In: Al Dhefiri A.
Out: Faleh N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Kuwait
20%
Draws
0%
Jordan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kuwait

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jordan come out ahead of Kuwait on wins alone.
  • Kuwait are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Jordan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jordan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Kuwait Clean Sheet 68%
Jordan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuwait Jordan
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.12 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Kuwait vs Jordan
1:3
Nov 19, 2024 World Championship
Kuwait vs Jordan
1:1
Sep 5, 2024 World Championship
Jordan vs Kuwait
1:1
Jun 14, 2022 Asian Cup
Jordan vs Kuwait
3:0
Jun 11, 2021 World Championship
Kuwait vs Jordan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuwait Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasser Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Jordan Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Taha M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Rosan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuwait 86 / 100
Jordan 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuwait Jordan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kuwait Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jordan lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Kuwait found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (25 games).

Jordan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kuwait VS Jordan
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuwait

(Home)
05 Jun
Thailand
2 : 2
Kuwait
09 Dec
United Arab Emirates
3 : 1
Kuwait
06 Dec
Kuwait
1 : 3
Jordan
02 Dec
Egypt
1 : 1
Kuwait
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2
Kuwait
Page 1 of 5

Jordan

(Away)
28 Jun
Jordan
1 : 3
Argentina
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
07 Jun
Colombia
2 : 0
Jordan
31 May
Switzerland
4 : 1
Jordan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)