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Kuwait vs Lebanon

World World

Friendly International 2024 Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

11' Event
Bourslee B.
76' Event
El Zein K.
90' Event
Merheg S. J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Kuwait and Lebanon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lebanon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kuwait
20%
Draws
51%
Lebanon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lebanon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lebanon come out ahead of Kuwait on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Lebanon taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Kuwait Clean Sheet 17%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuwait Lebanon
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 3 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.12 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.84 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
0:2
Dec 12, 2024 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
1:2
Nov 19, 2022 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
2:0
Mar 29, 2021 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kuwait Compare

Top Goalscorer Bourslee B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Lebanon Compare

Top Goalscorer El Zein K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merheg S. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuwait 10 / 100
Lebanon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuwait Lebanon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kuwait scored in 72% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Kuwait has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lebanon let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kuwait VS Lebanon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuwait

(Home)
05 Jun
Thailand
2 : 2
Kuwait
09 Dec
United Arab Emirates
3 : 1
Kuwait
06 Dec
Kuwait
1 : 3
Jordan
02 Dec
Egypt
1 : 1
Kuwait
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2
Kuwait
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Lebanon

(Away)
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Bhutan
0 : 4
Lebanon
09 Oct
Lebanon
2 : 0
Bhutan
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