Sport Picks
KV Mechelen vs St. Liege
Belgium
Jupiler Pro League Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen 
Match Events
9'
9'
Nguene B.
Assist: Fossey M.
24'
24'
Abid A.
Assist: Nielsen C.
33'
33'
Mortensen G.
AI Match Summary
The Jupiler Pro League game between KV Mechelen and St. Liege finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
20%
65%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Liege
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- St. Liege carry the better recent record into this one.
- St. Liege are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
KV Mechelen Clean Sheet 15%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KV Mechelen | St. Liege |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen vs St. Liege
3:3
Nov 28, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen vs St. Liege
0:1
Sep 12, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs KV Mechelen
1:1
May 10, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen vs St. Liege
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs KV Mechelen
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
KV Mechelen Compare
Top Goalscorer Koudou T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
St. Liege Compare
Top Goalscorer Abid A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nguene B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KV Mechelen 15 / 100
St. Liege 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KV Mechelen St. Liege
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Liege Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
KV Mechelen found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
St. Liege's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
KV Mechelen has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
KV Mechelen VS St. Liege
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
KV Mechelen
(Home) 19 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 0 KV Mechelen
11 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 1 Anderlecht
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4 Westerlo
29 Aug
RAAL La Louviere
2 : 2 KV Mechelen
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0 KV Mechelen
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 1 Anderlecht
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4 Westerlo
16 Aug
KV Mechelen
3 : 3 St. Liege
01 Aug
KV Mechelen
0 : 0 Dunkerque
18 Jul
KV Mechelen
2 : 3 Den Haag
Page 1 of 3
St. Liege
(Away) 18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1 St. Liege
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2 St. Liege
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0 Antwerp
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2 St. Liege
21 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 0 RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1 St. Liege
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2 St. Liege
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2 St. Liege
16 Aug
KV Mechelen
3 : 3 St. Liege
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0 St. Liege
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Gent | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Club Brugge | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:3 | 18 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Waregem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 7 | St. Liege | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 9 | SK Beveren | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Genk | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 9 |
| 11 | St. Truiden | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Lommel SK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 15 | Leuven | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Kortrijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 18 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)
