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KV Mechelen vs St. Liege

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KV Mechelen host St. Liege in the Jupiler Pro League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. St. Liege have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while KV Mechelen have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, KV Mechelen have won 0 to St. Liege's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Nov 28, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.75) back St. Liege to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
KV Mechelen
20%
Draws
38%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KV Mechelen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Liege carry the better recent record into this one.
  • KV Mechelen are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
KV Mechelen Clean Sheet 12%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KV Mechelen St. Liege
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen vs St. Liege
0:1
Sep 12, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs KV Mechelen
1:1
May 10, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen vs St. Liege
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs KV Mechelen
2:2
Dec 26, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen vs St. Liege
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KV Mechelen 40 / 100
St. Liege 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KV Mechelen St. Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KV Mechelen found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

St. Liege's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

KV Mechelen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

KV Mechelen VS St. Liege
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KV Mechelen

(Home)
25 Jul
Willem II
1 : 0
KV Mechelen
18 Jul
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Den Haag
15 Jul
Heist
0 : 1
KV Mechelen
11 Jul
Hasselt
1 : 2
KV Mechelen
04 Jul
KV Mechelen
3 : 0
Boom
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St. Liege

(Away)
26 Jul
St. Liege
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
St. Liege
0 : 1
Juventus
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
11 Jul
St. Liege
1 : 0
Francs Borains
08 Jul
RFC Aubel
0 : 4
St. Liege
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antwerp00000:00
2Leuven00000:00
3Lommel SK00000:00
4Anderlecht00000:00
5Cercle Brugge00000:00
6Charleroi00000:00
7Club Brugge00000:00
8Genk00000:00
9Gent00000:00
10KV Mechelen00000:00
11St. Liege00000:00
12St. Truiden00000:00
13Waregem00000:00
14Westerlo00000:00
15Kortrijk00000:00
16Royale Union SG00000:00
17SK Beveren00000:00
18RAAL La Louviere00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)