Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KV Mechelen host St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: KV Mechelen at 1.07 goals for, 1.86 against; St. Truiden at 1.64 for, 1.27 against. Head-to-head, KV Mechelen have won 0 to St. Truiden's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.81) point toward St. Truiden. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
KV Mechelen
20%
Draws
60%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Truiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • KV Mechelen haven't matched St. Truiden's recent run of results.
  • St. Truiden are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Truiden have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
KV Mechelen Clean Sheet 11%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KV Mechelen St. Truiden
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen
3:0
Apr 26, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden
1:4
Dec 21, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden
1:3
Feb 21, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KV Mechelen 22 / 100
St. Truiden 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KV Mechelen St. Truiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Truiden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KV Mechelen found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

St. Truiden let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: St. Truiden registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KV Mechelen VS St. Truiden
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KV Mechelen

(Home)
03 Oct
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
19 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 0
KV Mechelen
11 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 1
Anderlecht
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
29 Aug
RAAL La Louviere
2 : 2
KV Mechelen
Page 1 of 6

St. Truiden

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
9 SK Beveren 7 3 0 4 7:11 9
10 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
11 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
12 Lommel SK 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)