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KV Reykjavik vs KFG Gardabaer Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Jonsson S.
69' Event
Johansson A.
(Penalty)
76' Event
Helgason B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2023 game between KV Reykjavik and KFG Gardabaer finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KFG Gardabaer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
KV Reykjavik
15%
Draws
51%
KFG Gardabaer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • KFG Gardabaer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • KFG Gardabaer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
KV Reykjavik Clean Sheet 20%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KV Reykjavik KFG Gardabaer
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 1.63 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2023 Division 2
KV Reykjavik vs KFG Gardabaer
1:3
May 6, 2023 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs KV Reykjavik
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KV Reykjavik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Helgason B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KV Reykjavik 10 / 100
KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KV Reykjavik KFG Gardabaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer let in goals in 80% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

KV Reykjavik's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

KV Reykjavik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS KFG Gardabaer
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KV Reykjavik

(Home)
26 Mar
Fylkir
6 : 0
KV Reykjavik
20 Mar
KV Reykjavik
5 : 0
KB Breidholt
16 Jul
KV Reykjavik
1 : 2
Hottur / Huginn
05 Apr
KV Reykjavik
1 : 6
Fylkir
29 Mar
Aegir
2 : 3
KV Reykjavik
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KFG Gardabaer

(Away)
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dalvik/Reynir 22 13 6 3 45:23 45
2 IR Reykjavik 22 13 2 7 55:28 41
3 KFA 22 11 8 3 45:24 41
4 Throttur Vogar 22 11 5 6 42:30 38
5 Olafsvik 22 11 5 6 42:34 38
6 Hottur / Huginn 22 10 3 9 34:38 33
7 Haukar 22 9 4 9 36:36 31
8 KFG Gardabaer 22 9 3 10 41:40 30
9 Volsungur 22 8 1 13 33:38 25
10 Fjallabyggd 22 8 1 13 36:49 25
11 Sindri 22 4 5 13 25:53 17
12 KV Reykjavik 22 2 3 17 18:59 9
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