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Kvant Obninsk vs Arsenal Tula 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kvant Obninsk play Arsenal Tula 2 in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. Arsenal Tula 2 are favorites here. Recently, Kvant Obninsk averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. Arsenal Tula 2 averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Kvant Obninsk won 2, Arsenal Tula 2 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Kvant Obninsk and 2.25 for Arsenal Tula 2. This points to a Arsenal Tula 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Kvant Obninsk
20%
Draws
60%
Arsenal Tula 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arsenal Tula 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Kvant Obninsk picked up more points recently compared to Arsenal Tula 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Kvant Obninsk Clean Sheet 10%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kvant Obninsk Arsenal Tula 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs Arsenal Tula 2
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kvant Obninsk
1:0
May 31, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Kvant Obninsk
2:0
May 26, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kvant Obninsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Shcherbiy N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Demidov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kvant Obninsk 20 / 100
Arsenal Tula 2 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kvant Obninsk Arsenal Tula 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal Tula 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Arsenal Tula 2 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kvant Obninsk attacking → ← attacking Arsenal Tula 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kvant Obninsk scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Arsenal Tula 2 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Kvant Obninsk went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Arsenal Tula 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 31
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00