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Kvant Obninsk vs FK Shumbrat Saransk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Chubukin A.
Own Goal
19' Event
Yusupov R.
62' Event
Trofimov V.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Kvant Obninsk and FK Shumbrat Saransk finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Kvant Obninsk
35%
Draws
46%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Shumbrat Saransk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kvant Obninsk haven't matched FK Shumbrat Saransk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Shumbrat Saransk a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kvant Obninsk Clean Sheet 10%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kvant Obninsk FK Shumbrat Saransk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 1 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Kvant Obninsk
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kvant Obninsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Sokolov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusupov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trofimov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kvant Obninsk 14 / 100
FK Shumbrat Saransk 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kvant Obninsk FK Shumbrat Saransk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Shumbrat Saransk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Kvant Obninsk scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

FK Shumbrat Saransk let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Kvant Obninsk remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kvant Obninsk VS FK Shumbrat Saransk
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kvant Obninsk

(Home)
10 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk 2
3 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
03 Oct
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1
Kursk
13 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
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FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Away)
10 Oct
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
03 Oct
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
26 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
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