Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kwara vs Asante Kotoko

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Kwara Sports Stadium, Ilorin
Kwara Logo

Kwara

0 - 1
FT
Asante Kotoko Logo

Asante Kotoko

Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Gyau H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Asante Kotoko advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kwara
15%
Draws
39%
Asante Kotoko
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kwara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asante Kotoko come out ahead of Kwara on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Kwara taking it.
  • Asante Kotoko arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Asante Kotoko, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Kwara Clean Sheet 68%
Asante Kotoko Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kwara Asante Kotoko
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Kwara vs Asante Kotoko
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Asante Kotoko vs Kwara
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kwara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Asante Kotoko Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyau H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kwara 50 / 100
Asante Kotoko 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kwara Asante Kotoko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KWA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kwara went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Asante Kotoko registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kwara found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Kwara VS Asante Kotoko
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kwara

(Home)
01 Jun
Kwara
0 : 1
Sokoto United
24 May
Bayelsa United
4 : 0
Kwara
10 May
Kwara
2 : 0
Enyimba International
03 May
Niger Tornadoes
2 : 2
Kwara
19 Apr
Kwara
2 : 1
Barau
Page 1 of 6

Asante Kotoko

(Away)
24 May
Asante Kotoko
1 : 2
Swedru All Blacks
17 May
Bechem United
3 : 1
Asante Kotoko
10 May
Asante Kotoko
2 : 0
Eleven Wonders
06 May
Asante Kotoko
3 : 0
Hohoe United
03 May
Dreams FC
2 : 0
Asante Kotoko
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Asante Kotoko 5
Kwara 3
TBD -
Wydad Athletic -
Generation Foot 4
Academie de FAD 6
TBD -
USM Alger -
Bhantal 3
Hafia 5
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
USFA 3
Gbohloe-Su 0
Abia Warriors 1
Djoliba 2
Nigelec 0
Olympique de Safi 6
Stade Tunisien 2
SNIM 0
Aigle Royal 2
San Pedro 3
Black Man Warrior 1
Coton FC 4
Dekedda 2
Zamala Ruwaba 2
TBD -
Zamalek -
Welayta Dicha 1
Al-Ittihad 3
TBD -
Al Masry -
NEC FC 3
Nairobi United 3
Madani 1
Etoile Sahel 3
Port 2
KMKM 4
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Azam 4
Flambeau du Centre 4
Al Akhdar 3
Rayon Sport 1
Singida Black Stars 3
Foresters 1
15 de Agosto 4
TBD -
Stellenbosch FC -
FC Libreville 2
Zesco 5
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Jwaneng Galaxy 2
Simba 3
Djabal 0
Kabuscorp 1
Kaizer Chiefs 2
AS Maniema 4
Pamplemousses 3
Young Africans 0
Royal Leopards 7
Ferroviario Maputo 3
AS Fanalamanga 2
Primeiro de Agosto 1
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Final
Asante Kotoko 1
Wydad Athletic 6
Academie de FAD 1
USM Alger 3
Hafia 1
CR Belouizdad 3
USFA 1
Djoliba 2
Olympique de Safi 3
Stade Tunisien 2
San Pedro 4
Coton FC 1
Dekedda 0
Zamalek 7
Al-Ittihad 1
Al Masry 2
Nairobi United 3
Etoile Sahel 2
KMKM 0
Azam 9
Flambeau du Centre 2
Singida Black Stars 4
15 de Agosto 1
Stellenbosch FC 4
Zesco 5
Jwaneng Galaxy 4
Simba 1
Kaizer Chiefs 3
AS Maniema 3
Royal Leopards 2
Ferroviario Maputo 0
Otoho d'Oyo 3