Sport Picks
Kwara vs Sokoto United Prediction & H2H Stats
Nigeria
Federation Cup Kwara Sports Stadium, Ilorin 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sokoto United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Sokoto United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Kwara are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Sokoto United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sokoto United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Kwara Clean Sheet 20%
Sokoto United Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kwara | Sokoto United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 1, 2026 Federation Cup
Kwara vs Sokoto United
0:1
Dec 14, 2019 NNL
Sokoto United vs Kwara
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kwara 36 / 100
Sokoto United 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kwara Sokoto United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Kwara scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Sokoto United conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Kwara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kwara VS Sokoto United
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.6
63% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kwara
(Home) 27 Sept
Kun Khalifa
1 : 0 Kwara
23 Sept
Kwara
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
20 Sept
Warri Wolves
1 : 0 Kwara
13 Sept
Kwara
3 : 0 Katsina Utd
06 Sept
Plateau United
1 : 0 Kwara
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Kwara
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
13 Sept
Kwara
3 : 0 Katsina Utd
30 Aug
Kwara
2 : 2 Kano Pillars
01 Jun
Kwara
0 : 1 Sokoto United
10 May
Kwara
2 : 0 Enyimba International
Page 1 of 3
Sokoto United
(Away) 11 Jun
Sokoto United
0 : 1 El Kanemi Warriors
06 Jun
Sokoto United
2 : 0 Adamawa Utd
01 Jun
Kwara
0 : 1 Sokoto United
28 Mar
Sokoto United
0 : 1 ABS
25 Mar
City FC Abuja
1 : 2 Sokoto United
Page 1 of 6
01 Jun
Kwara
0 : 1 Sokoto United
25 Mar
City FC Abuja
1 : 2 Sokoto United
07 Mar
Kada Warriors
1 : 1 Sokoto United
21 Feb
Mighty Jets
2 : 1 Sokoto United
20 Dec
Lobi
2 : 0 Sokoto United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Kwara 0
Sokoto United 1
De Sapele Lion 0
Adamawa Utd 1
Bendel 3
Crown FC 1
El Kanemi Warriors 2
Akwa United 1
Shooting 1
Kada Warriors 2
Wikki Tourists 3
Bayelsa United 1
Bida Lions 2
Warri Wolves 0
Flight FC Gboko 2
Mighty Jets 1
Rivers United 3
Rangers International 2
Ejigbo City 0
Nasarawa United 3
Kogi United 0
Plateau United 1
Ingas 1
Basira 2
Ikorodu City 2
Jigawa Golden Stars 0
Enyimba International 1
Gombe 0
Sunshine Stars U19 2
Warinje 1
Barau 1
Abakaliki 0
1/8-finals
Sokoto United 2
Adamawa Utd 0
Bendel 3
El Kanemi Warriors 4
Kada Warriors 1
Wikki Tourists 3
Bida Lions 0
Flight FC Gboko 1
Rivers United 2
Nasarawa United 3
Plateau United 2
Basira 1
Ikorodu City 2
Enyimba International 1
Sunshine Stars U19 1
Barau 2
Quarter-finals
Sokoto United 0
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Wikki Tourists 2
Flight FC Gboko 1
Nasarawa United 2
Plateau United 1
Ikorodu City 3
Barau 2
Semi-finals
El Kanemi Warriors 3
Wikki Tourists 1
Nasarawa United 1
Ikorodu City 2
Final
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Ikorodu City 0
