Sport Picks
Kyoto vs Avispa Fukuoka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka 
Match Events
8'
8'
Rafael Elias
10'
10'
Maeda K.
30'
30'
Fujimoto K.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Kyoto and Avispa Fukuoka finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kyoto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kyoto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Avispa Fukuoka come out ahead of Kyoto on wins alone.
- 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 68%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kyoto | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
May 6, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:0
Jul 21, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto
2:2
Mar 9, 2025 J1 League
Kyoto vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kyoto Compare
Top Goalscorer Rafael Elias
1 Goals Assists Leader Arai H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Avispa Fukuoka Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kyoto 41 / 100
Avispa Fukuoka 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kyoto Avispa Fukuoka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kyoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avispa Fukuoka let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Kyoto's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Avispa Fukuoka has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kyoto VS Avispa Fukuoka
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kyoto
(Home) 10 Oct
Kyoto
0 : 1 Machida Zelvia
03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Kyoto
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2 Kyoto
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0 Kyoto
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Kyoto
0 : 1 Machida Zelvia
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
29 Aug
Kyoto
2 : 1 Avispa Fukuoka
26 Aug
Kyoto
1 : 0 Maruyasu Okazaki
Page 1 of 3
Avispa Fukuoka
(Away) 10 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 1 Okayama
07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Yokohama FC
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
29 Aug
Kyoto
2 : 1 Avispa Fukuoka
22 Aug
Kashima Antlers
3 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
