Sport Picks
Kyoto vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction & H2H Stats
Japan
J1 League Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka 
Match Events
3'
3'
Rafael Elias
Assist: Nakano R.
21'
21'
Fukuoka S.
32'
32'
Koga T.
AI Match Summary
Kashiwa Reysol in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kashiwa Reysol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kashiwa Reysol lately — more wins on the board than Kyoto.
- Win probability leans Kyoto's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 13%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kyoto | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Kashiwa Reysol
2:3
Jun 6, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto
0:1
May 30, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Kashiwa Reysol
2:6
Jun 21, 2025 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto
3:3
Apr 2, 2025 J1 League
Kyoto vs Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kyoto Compare
Top Goalscorer Rafael Elias
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Kashiwa Reysol Compare
Top Goalscorer Segawa Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kubo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kyoto 40 / 100
Kashiwa Reysol 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kyoto Kashiwa Reysol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Kyoto scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Kashiwa Reysol let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Kyoto remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kyoto VS Kashiwa Reysol
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kyoto
(Home) 23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2 Kyoto
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0 Kyoto
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
06 Sept
FC Tokyo
2 : 0 Kyoto
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
29 Aug
Kyoto
2 : 1 Avispa Fukuoka
26 Aug
Kyoto
1 : 0 Maruyasu Okazaki
22 Aug
Kyoto
1 : 3 Mito
Page 1 of 3
Kashiwa Reysol
(Away) 23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0 Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
29 Aug
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
