Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kyoto vs Maruyasu Okazaki

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sakai T.
46'
Sub
Honda F. In: Arai H.
Out: Honda F.
46'
Sub
Hirato T. In: Nakano R.
Out: Hirato T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kyoto
15%
Draws
34%
Maruyasu Okazaki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kyoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kyoto lately — more wins on the board than Maruyasu Okazaki.
  • Win probability leans Kyoto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Kyoto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kyoto, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 68%
Maruyasu Okazaki Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyoto Maruyasu Okazaki
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 12 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Kyoto vs Maruyasu Okazaki
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagasawa S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Maruyasu Okazaki Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyoto 95 / 100
Maruyasu Okazaki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyoto Maruyasu Okazaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maruyasu Okazaki has conceded goals in 100% of their last 6 outings.

Kyoto's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Maruyasu Okazaki lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kyoto VS Maruyasu Okazaki
0.75 Goals Scored 3
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyoto

(Home)
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2
Kyoto
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
06 Sept
FC Tokyo
2 : 0
Kyoto
Page 1 of 6

Maruyasu Okazaki

(Away)
26 Aug
Kyoto
1 : 0
Maruyasu Okazaki
19 Aug
SRC Hiroshima
1 : 6
Maruyasu Okazaki
16 Mar
Iwata
7 : 0
Maruyasu Okazaki
23 Feb
Kofu
1 : 1
Maruyasu Okazaki
28 Oct
Honda FC
1 : 0
Maruyasu Okazaki
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Gainare Tottori -
Verdy -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Iwaki -
Okayama -
Chiba -
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Avispa Fukuoka -
Yokohama FC -
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Kyoto Sangyo -
Urawa Reds -
Omiya Ardija -
Cerezo Osaka -
Kagoshima United -
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Shimizu S-Pulse -
V-Varen Nagasaki -
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
FC Tokyo -
Shonan Bellmare -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -