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Kyoto vs Nagoya Grampus

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
Kyoto Logo

Kyoto

Sun, Mar 22, 2026
2 - 1
05:00 AM
Nagoya Grampus Logo

Nagoya Grampus

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Koda H.
Assist: Nogami Y.
35'
Sub
Yamagishi Y. In: Nagai K.
Out: Yamagishi Y.
46'
Sub
Sato K. In: Fukuda S.
Out: Sato K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kyoto in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyoto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kyoto
40%
Draws
29%
Nagoya Grampus
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nagoya Grampus haven't matched Kyoto's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 10%
Nagoya Grampus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyoto Nagoya Grampus
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto
3:0
Mar 22, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Nagoya Grampus
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto
1:2
May 11, 2025 J1 League
Kyoto vs Nagoya Grampus
1:1
Aug 7, 2024 J1 League
Kyoto vs Nagoya Grampus
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Marco Tulio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nagoya Grampus Compare

Top Goalscorer Koda H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyoto 30 / 100
Nagoya Grampus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyoto Nagoya Grampus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kyoto scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Nagoya Grampus let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Nagoya Grampus's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kyoto VS Nagoya Grampus
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121