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Kyoto vs Ratchaburi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kyoto host Ratchaburi in the AFC Champions League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Ratchaburi have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Kyoto have conceded 1.79 and scored 1.14. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.56) point toward Ratchaburi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kyoto
15%
Draws
46%
Ratchaburi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ratchaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ratchaburi have won more games recently than Kyoto.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 15%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyoto Ratchaburi
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.14 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyoto 30 / 100
Ratchaburi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyoto Ratchaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyoto's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ratchaburi let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Kyoto has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Ratchaburi registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyoto VS Ratchaburi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyoto

(Home)
03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0
Kyoto
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2
Kyoto
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6

Ratchaburi

(Away)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)