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Kyoto vs Shimizu S-Pulse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kyoto host Shimizu S-Pulse in the J1 League. Kyoto are expected to control this from the start. Shimizu S-Pulse have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Kyoto have conceded 1.79 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Kyoto slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Kyoto. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kyoto
20%
Draws
51%
Shimizu S-Pulse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shimizu S-Pulse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shimizu S-Pulse come out ahead of Kyoto on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 20%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyoto Shimizu S-Pulse
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kyoto
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 J1 League
Kyoto vs Shimizu S-Pulse
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kyoto
1:2
Jul 10, 2024 Emperors Cup
Kyoto vs Shimizu S-Pulse
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyoto 31 / 100
Shimizu S-Pulse 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyoto Shimizu S-Pulse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyoto's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Shimizu S-Pulse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Kyoto remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kyoto VS Shimizu S-Pulse
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyoto

(Home)
21 Oct
Kyoto
2 : 2
Kashima Antlers
17 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Kyoto
13 Oct
Kyoto
1 : 0
Ratchaburi
10 Oct
Kyoto
0 : 1
Machida Zelvia
03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0
Kyoto
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Shimizu S-Pulse

(Away)
21 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 : 5
Machida Zelvia
17 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 2
Gamba Osaka
14 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
11 Oct
Mito
1 : 2
Shimizu S-Pulse
07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 11 8 2 1 30:10 26
2 FC Tokyo 11 7 3 1 21:8 24
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 11 7 2 2 25:10 23
4 Vissel Kobe 11 7 1 3 18:11 22
5 Kashiwa Reysol 11 7 1 3 22:17 22
6 Kashima Antlers 11 6 2 3 23:18 20
7 Kawasaki Frontale 11 5 4 2 23:17 19
8 Urawa Reds 11 6 0 5 20:23 18
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 11 4 5 2 15:11 17
10 Okayama 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
11 Shimizu S-Pulse 11 4 2 5 10:16 14
12 Nagoya Grampus 11 4 1 6 13:17 13
13 Cerezo Osaka 11 3 4 4 10:17 13
14 V-Varen Nagasaki 11 3 3 5 15:18 12
15 Gamba Osaka 11 2 4 5 12:19 10
16 Mito 11 2 3 6 12:16 9
17 Kyoto 11 2 3 6 13:21 9
18 Avispa Fukuoka 11 2 1 8 12:18 7
19 Chiba 11 1 3 7 10:22 6
20 Verdy 11 0 5 6 6:20 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)