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Kyrgyzstan vs Iran Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Championship 2026 Dolen Omurzakov Stadium, Bishkek
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Match Events

12' Event
Taremi M.
23'
Shukurov A.
33' Event
Hardani S.
Assist: Azmoun S.

AI Match Summary

Iran in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Kyrgyzstan
35%
Draws
24%
Iran
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kyrgyzstan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Iran have won more games recently than Kyrgyzstan.
  • Win probability leans Kyrgyzstan's way, sitting at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Iran have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kyrgyzstan Clean Sheet 19%
Iran Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyrgyzstan Iran
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 World Championship
Kyrgyzstan vs Iran
2:3
Sep 5, 2024 World Championship
Iran vs Kyrgyzstan
1:0
Jun 16, 2023 CAFA Nations Cup
Kyrgyzstan vs Iran
1:5
Jun 7, 2016 Friendly International
Iran vs Kyrgyzstan
6:0
Jun 8, 1997 World Championship
Iran vs Kyrgyzstan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyrgyzstan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kojo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Iran Compare

Top Goalscorer Taremi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hardani S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyrgyzstan 76 / 100
Iran 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyrgyzstan Iran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyrgyzstan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Kyrgyzstan found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Kyrgyzstan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Iran let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kyrgyzstan VS Iran
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.5
29% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyrgyzstan

(Home)
28 Sept
Kyrgyzstan
5 : 0
Maldives
09 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
28 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
2 : 5
Madagascar
25 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 1
Equatorial Guinea
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Iran

(Away)
29 Sept
Russia
2 : 0
Iran
24 Sept
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Iran
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 10 7 2 1 19:8 23
2 Uzbekistan 10 6 3 1 14:7 21
3 United Arab Emirates 10 4 3 3 15:8 15
4 Qatar 10 4 1 5 17:24 13
5 Kyrgyzstan 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
6 North Korea 10 0 3 7 9:21 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Jordan 10 4 4 2 16:8 16
3 Iraq 10 4 3 3 9:9 15
4 Oman 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
5 Palestine 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
6 Kuwait 10 0 5 5 7:20 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 10 7 2 1 30:3 23
2 Australia 10 5 4 1 16:7 19
3 Saudi Arabia 10 3 4 3 7:8 13
4 Indonesia 10 3 3 4 9:20 12
5 China 10 3 0 7 7:20 9
6 Bahrain 10 1 3 6 5:16 6
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)