Sport Picks

Asia

Asian Cup Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh

Iran

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Asian Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Kyrgyzstan have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Iran's 1.79 scored and 0.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Iran slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 19, 2024, ending 2:3. xG projections (0.40 - 1.30) back Iran to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Kyrgyzstan

35%

Draws

49%

Iran

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Iran come out ahead of Kyrgyzstan on wins alone.
36% — that's where the model lands on Kyrgyzstan taking it.
Iran arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Iran, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Iran have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Kyrgyzstan Clean Sheet 19%

Iran Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kyrgyzstan	Iran
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	5	16
Draws	10	7
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	1.07	1.79
Goals Conceded	1.52	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	0.40	1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 World Championship

Kyrgyzstan vs Iran

2:3

Sep 5, 2024 World Championship

Iran vs Kyrgyzstan

1:0

Jun 16, 2023 CAFA Nations Cup

Kyrgyzstan vs Iran

1:5

Jun 7, 2016 Friendly International

Iran vs Kyrgyzstan

6:0

Jun 8, 1997 World Championship

Iran vs Kyrgyzstan

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyrgyzstan 36 / 100

Iran 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kyrgyzstan Iran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Kyrgyzstan found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Iran conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Kyrgyzstan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kyrgyzstan VS Iran

0.29 Goals Scored 1.75

0.86 Goals Conceded 0.5

14% Over 1.5 63%

14% Over 2.5 38%

14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyrgyzstan

(Home)

09 Jun

Kyrgyzstan

0 : 0

Palestine

06 Jun

Kyrgyzstan

0 : 0

Palestine

28 Mar

Kyrgyzstan

2 : 5

Madagascar

25 Mar

Kyrgyzstan

0 : 1

Equatorial Guinea

05 Sept

Uzbekistan

4 : 0

Kyrgyzstan

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Iran

(Away)

24 Sept

Uzbekistan

3 : 1

Iran

27 Jun

Egypt

1 : 1

Iran

21 Jun

Belgium

0 : 0

Iran

16 Jun

Iran

2 : 2

New Zealand

04 Jun

Iran

2 : 0

Mali

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