Sport Picks
Kyustendil vs Balkan Botevgrad
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Balkan Botevgrad lately — more wins on the board than Kyustendil.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 20%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kyustendil | Balkan Botevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Kyustendil
3:1
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Kyustendil
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Balkan Botevgrad
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kyustendil 32 / 100
Balkan Botevgrad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kyustendil Balkan Botevgrad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Balkan Botevgrad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Balkan Botevgrad conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Kyustendil scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Kyustendil stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kyustendil VS Balkan Botevgrad
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kyustendil
(Home) 26 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 3 Bansko
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0 Kyustendil
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1 Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1 Chavdar Etropole
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 3 Bansko
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Pirin Razlog
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1 Chavdar Etropole
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
01 Aug
Kyustendil
2 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
Page 1 of 3
Balkan Botevgrad
(Away) 26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Levski Sofia II
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
01 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
