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Kyustendil vs Balkan Botevgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Kyustendil and Balkan Botevgrad finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balkan Botevgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kyustendil
20%
Draws
34%
Balkan Botevgrad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kyustendil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kyustendil haven't matched Balkan Botevgrad's recent run of results.
  • Kyustendil are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 20%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyustendil Balkan Botevgrad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Kyustendil
3:1
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Kyustendil
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Balkan Botevgrad
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyustendil 40 / 100
Balkan Botevgrad 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyustendil Balkan Botevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyustendil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Kyustendil went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Balkan Botevgrad has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kyustendil's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kyustendil VS Balkan Botevgrad
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyustendil

(Home)
04 Nov
Kyustendil
1 : 2
Strumska Slava
31 Oct
Slavia Sofia 2
0 : 2
Kyustendil
28 Oct
Kyustendil
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
24 Oct
Kyustendil
0 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
07 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
2 : 2
Kyustendil
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Balkan Botevgrad

(Away)
31 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 4
Minyor Pernik
28 Oct
Pirin Razlog
0 : 5
Balkan Botevgrad
24 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 3
Natsional Sofia
17 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
10 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
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