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Kyustendil vs Belasitsa Petrich - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kyustendil host Belasitsa Petrich in the Third League - South-West. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Kyustendil have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Belasitsa Petrich's 1.41 scored and 2.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Belasitsa Petrich slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 28, 2022, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.31, favoring Kyustendil. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kyustendil
30%
Draws
23%
Belasitsa Petrich
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kyustendil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kyustendil lately — more wins on the board than Belasitsa Petrich.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kyustendil taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 18%
Belasitsa Petrich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyustendil Belasitsa Petrich
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Belasitsa Petrich
2:0
Nov 20, 2021 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Kyustendil
1:0
Mar 20, 2021 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Belasitsa Petrich
1:1
Sep 5, 2020 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Kyustendil
1:0
May 30, 2020 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Kyustendil
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyustendil 36 / 100
Belasitsa Petrich 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyustendil Belasitsa Petrich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belasitsa Petrich let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Kyustendil's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Belasitsa Petrich's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kyustendil VS Belasitsa Petrich
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyustendil

(Home)
07 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
2 : 2
Kyustendil
26 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 3
Bansko
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
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Belasitsa Petrich

(Away)
17 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia III
10 Oct
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
07 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Balkan Botevgrad
04 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
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