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Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kyustendil host Botev Ihtiman in the Third League - South-West. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kyustendil have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Botev Ihtiman's 1.39 scored and 1.26 conceded. Past meetings favor Botev Ihtiman slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.38) back Botev Ihtiman to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kyustendil
20%
Draws
48%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kyustendil haven't matched Botev Ihtiman's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kyustendil a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 17%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyustendil Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kyustendil
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman
4:1
Sep 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kyustendil
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyustendil 36 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyustendil Botev Ihtiman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Botev Ihtiman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Botev Ihtiman lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Kyustendil found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Kyustendil VS Botev Ihtiman
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyustendil

(Home)
07 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
2 : 2
Kyustendil
26 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 3
Bansko
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
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Botev Ihtiman

(Away)
07 Oct
Bansko
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
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