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Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Kyustendil and Chavdar Etropole finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kyustendil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kyustendil
30%
Draws
33%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kyustendil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Kyustendil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Kyustendil taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 20%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyustendil Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole
3:1
Apr 20, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole
3:0
Sep 30, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Kyustendil
2:1
May 6, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Kyustendil
2:1
Mar 25, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Chavdar Etropole
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyustendil 85 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyustendil Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyustendil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chavdar Etropole has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Kyustendil found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Kyustendil has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kyustendil VS Chavdar Etropole
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyustendil

(Home)
04 Nov
Kyustendil
1 : 2
Strumska Slava
31 Oct
Slavia Sofia 2
0 : 2
Kyustendil
28 Oct
Kyustendil
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
24 Oct
Kyustendil
0 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
07 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
2 : 2
Kyustendil
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Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
31 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2
Natsional Sofia
28 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
4 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
24 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
17 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
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