Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirin Razlog in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pirin Razlog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kyustendil
30%
Draws
41%
Pirin Razlog
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kyustendil at 1.24 per game, Pirin Razlog at 1.1.
  • Model gives Kyustendil a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kyustendil here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 14%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyustendil Pirin Razlog
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Kyustendil
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
1:0
May 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
6:0
Nov 2, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Kyustendil
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyustendil 75 / 100
Pirin Razlog 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyustendil Pirin Razlog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyustendil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Kyustendil's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pirin Razlog has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Kyustendil remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kyustendil VS Pirin Razlog
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyustendil

(Home)
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1
Kyustendil
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Pirin Razlog

(Away)
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
22 Aug
Pirin Razlog
2 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
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